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Bulkowski's Event Pattern Failure Rank
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Market
Industrials (^DJI):
Transports (^DJT):
Utilities (^DJU):
Nasdaq (^IXIC):
S&P 500 (^GSPC):
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As of 02/03/2012
12,862 156.82 1.2%
5,369 63.27 1.2%
451 1.52 0.3%
2,906 45.98 1.6%
1,345 19.36 1.5%
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YTD
5.3%
7.0%
-2.9%
11.5%
6.9%
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 13,100 or 12,400 by 02/15/2012 5,500 or 5,150 by 02/15/2012
470 or 440 by 02/15/2012
3,100 or 2,800 by 02/15/2012
1,375 or 1,300 by 02/15/2012
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Written by and copyright © 2005-2011 by Thomas N. Bulkowski. All rights reserved.
This is an alphabetical listing of event patterns that shows the performance rank of each event pattern by its
failure rate. Ties are allowed. A rank of 1 means the event pattern has the smallest failure rate. N/A in the list
below means the event pattern uses a different
method to gauge performance than the other event patterns (usually the measure from the breakout to the swing high or
swing low, not to the highest high or lowest low before a trend change). Thus, a performance comparison would be
unfair and meaningless. For more information
see the book Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns, Second Edition.
-- Thomas Bulkowski
Bull Market Event Patterns
| Event Pattern | Breakeven Failure
Rate Rank |
| Dead-Cat Bounce | N/A |
| Dead-Cat Bounce, Inverted | N/A |
| Flag, Earnings, up breakout | 1 |
| Same Store Sales, Bad, down breakout | 1 |
| Stock Downgrade, down breakout | 1 |
| Earnings Surprise, Bad, down breakout | 2 |
| Stock Upgrade, up breakout | 2 |
| Same Store Sales, Good, up breakout | 3 |
| Stock Upgrade, down breakout | 3 |
| FDA Drug Approvals, down breakout | 4 |
| Stock Downgrade, up breakout | 4 |
| Earnings Surprise, Good, up breakout | 5 |
| FDA Drug Approvals, up breakout | 6 |
Copyright © 2005-2011 by Thomas N. Bulkowski. All rights reserved. A truly wise man never plays leapfrog with a unicorn.
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