As of 12/01/2023
  Indus: 36,246 +294.61 +0.8%  
  Trans: 15,464 +445.25 +3.0%  
  Utils: 876 +9.25 +1.1%  
  Nasdaq: 14,305 +78.81 +0.6%  
  S&P 500: 4,595 +26.83 +0.6%  
YTD
 +9.3%  
 +15.5%  
-9.4%  
 +36.7%  
 +19.7%  
  Targets    Overview: 11/29/2023  
  Down arrow34,500 or 36,400 by 12/15/2023
  Down arrow14,500 or 15,800 by 12/15/2023
  Up arrow900 or 825 by 12/15/2023
  Down arrow13,700 or 14,450 by 12/15/2023
  Down arrow4,450 or 4,650 by 12/15/2023
As of 12/01/2023
  Indus: 36,246 +294.61 +0.8%  
  Trans: 15,464 +445.25 +3.0%  
  Utils: 876 +9.25 +1.1%  
  Nasdaq: 14,305 +78.81 +0.6%  
  S&P 500: 4,595 +26.83 +0.6%  
YTD
 +9.3%  
 +15.5%  
-9.4%  
 +36.7%  
 +19.7%  
  Targets    Overview: 11/29/2023  
  Down arrow34,500 or 36,400 by 12/15/2023
  Down arrow14,500 or 15,800 by 12/15/2023
  Up arrow900 or 825 by 12/15/2023
  Down arrow13,700 or 14,450 by 12/15/2023
  Down arrow4,450 or 4,650 by 12/15/2023

Bulkowski's Oxford Industries (OXM) Trading Quiz

Released 3/29/2022.

OXM: Quiz

Below is a slider quiz to test your trading ability. Captions appear below the pictures for guidance, so be sure to scroll down far enough to read them.

 

1 / 4
chart pattern

What chart patterns can you find? Look for the following (if you find others, great!): inverted and descending scallop, inverted and ascending scallop, 2 rising wedges, ascending triangle, broadening top, head-and-shoulders top, head-and-shoulders bottom.

The answers are on the next slide.
2 / 4
chart pattern

Price has broken out downward when it closed below the rising wedge, just as the chart pattern predicts.

Question 1: Do you buy, short, or avoid trading this stock?
Question 2: What is your price target?
Question 3: What is your stop loss price?
See the next slide for answers.
3 / 4
chart pattern

Answer 1 (trade?): Since the breakout is downward, you can sell an existing holding or go short.

Answer 2 (target): If shorting, price tumbles to the start of the wedge just 32% of the time, which is the price target for rising wedges. A 32% success rate doesn't inspire much confidence. Price might bottom at 11.50, near the site of the flat price movement (red line) just before the wedge starts in late February 2003, but there are other support zones on the way to that price.

Answer 3 (stop): Place a stop just above the wedge high and above the large rounding turn from Nov 2002 to January 2003, say 13.30, which is 3 cents above the 12/12/2002 high. That would put the potential loss at 4%. Volatility is 22 cents, so a stop no closer than 13.16 (the intraday high at 12.94 + 22 cents) would work well.

As the above chart shows, price took off so a short position would have ended in a loss.

The ascending triangle shows a downward breakout.

Question: Do you short the stock again? If you decide to short, pick a price target and stop loss level.

The next slide shows the answer.
4 / 4
chart pattern

As you can see, the stock made a premature downward breakout from the ascending triangle. Price shot out the top of the chart pattern and made a new high more than double the top of the triangle. If you didn't place a stop, you'd be holding a massive loss.

The End.

See Also

 
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