Bulkowski's Blog: ThePatternSite.com
As of 12/05/2024
  Indus: 44,766 -248.33 -0.6%  
  Trans: 16,976 -190.93 -1.1%  
  Utils: 1,047 +2.22 +0.2%  
  Nasdaq: 19,700 -34.86 -0.2%  
  S&P 500: 6,075 -11.38 -0.2%  
YTD
 +18.8%  
 +6.8%  
 +18.8%  
 +31.2%  
 +27.4%  
  Targets    Overview: 12/02/2024  
  Down arrow44,000 or 46,000 by 12/15/2024
  Down arrow17,025 or 18,000 by 12/15/2024
  Down arrow1,025 or 1,100 by 12/15/2024
  Up arrow20,000 or 18,500 by 12/15/2024
  Up arrow6,200 or 5,900 by 12/15/2024
As of 12/05/2024
  Indus: 44,766 -248.33 -0.6%  
  Trans: 16,976 -190.93 -1.1%  
  Utils: 1,047 +2.22 +0.2%  
  Nasdaq: 19,700 -34.86 -0.2%  
  S&P 500: 6,075 -11.38 -0.2%  
YTD
 +18.8%  
 +6.8%  
 +18.8%  
 +31.2%  
 +27.4%  
  Targets    Overview: 12/02/2024  
  Down arrow44,000 or 46,000 by 12/15/2024
  Down arrow17,025 or 18,000 by 12/15/2024
  Down arrow1,025 or 1,100 by 12/15/2024
  Up arrow20,000 or 18,500 by 12/15/2024
  Up arrow6,200 or 5,900 by 12/15/2024

Recent Headlines

Picture of Foresight book. Picture of 'Invest for two-comma wealth' book.

Older Headlines

Archives


Friday 12/6/24. Pattern Trading Setups for the Weekend.

Here's a symbol list of 155 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: DDD, ABT, AXDX, ADTN, AKAM, ALK, ALKS, AMWD, AR, APOG, AAPL, AMAT, ATR, ADM, ANET, AWI, ARW, ATO, AVA, BALL, BIO, BIIB, BOOT, BMY, BBW, CBT, CAL, CPB, CE, CNP, CF, CLX, ED, GLW, CCK, DDS, ^DJI, DOV, BOOM, EQT, EG, EZPW, FDX, FISV, FMC, FTNT, FWRD, GME, GFS, HSII, HELE, HSIC, HON, DHI, JBHT, ITW, IBP, INTC, IPAR, JNJ, KFRC, KLIC, LZB, LRCX, LDOS, LEN, LNC, M, MGY, MTRX, MRCY, META, MSFT, NOVT, ORCL, OR, OMI, PDCO, PTEN, PCTY, PHM, DGX, RNG, RCKY, ROG, ROL, R, SAND, SLB, SAIC, SIGI, STR, LUV, SPSC, TECH, TDY, TPX, TOL, TSCO, RIG, TWLO, UIS, UNH, VECO, VC, WU, WOLF, ZBRA, ITA, IYM, IAI, IYC, QTEC, FXL, IHF, IEV, MXI, IXN, ILF, ITB, EWO, EWZ, ECH, EEM, EWQ, EWG, EIS, EWI, EWM, EWS, EZA, EWP, EWD, THD, TUR, EWU, PEJ, PHO, XLI, XLB, UNG, VHT, VIS, VAW. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

I released a pattern called the 3DC, which is a three-day trend compression pattern. Yes, it's a stinker.

You can find a list of small patterns and their rank here. The page is still under construction with more patterns to come but the results are worth looking at if you like using short patterns (up to 7 price bars long).

$ $ $

You can find setups based on a Fibonacci retrace by clicking on the link.

The following patterns were found manually, not using Patternz. Mr. Bulkowski has excluded any securities he owns from appearing in the list. However, he may add any of the securities listed to his portfolio at any time, just as you can.

In the table below, the red and green colors are based on the historical breakout direction for the associated chart pattern. If a high and tight flag appears, the start and end dates highlight the flagpole only and not the flag.

For details about the chart patterns, click here.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)

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 Symbol  Chart Pattern  Bullish 
 Bearish 
Start End Industry
AMWDDouble Top, Adam and Adam      11/11/202411/25/2024Building Materials
ASHDouble Top, Adam and Adam      11/25/202412/02/2024Chemical (Basic)
BALLDouble Top, Adam and Eve      11/14/202411/27/2024Packaging and Container
BAPipe bottom      11/11/202411/18/2024Aerospace/Defense
BRKRPipe bottom      11/11/202411/18/2024Precision Instrument
CBTDouble Top, Adam and Adam      11/25/202412/04/2024Chemical (Diversified)
CALDouble Top, Adam and Adam      11/25/202412/04/2024Shoe
CHDDouble Top, Eve and Adam      11/22/202412/02/2024Household Products
CCRNPipe bottom      11/11/202411/18/2024Human Resources
FANGDouble Top, Adam and Eve      11/06/202411/22/2024Petroleum (Producing)
EMETriangle, symmetrical      11/14/202412/04/2024Industrial Services
FICOTriangle, ascending      11/13/202412/05/2024IT Services
GMSHead-and-shoulders top      11/12/202412/04/2024Cement and Aggregates
HLITUgly double bottom      10/29/202411/19/2024Telecom. Equipment
HUNTriple bottom      11/14/202411/26/2024Chemical (Specialty)
IDADouble Top, Adam and Eve      11/13/202411/25/2024Electric Utility (West)
IRMDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      11/06/202411/15/2024Industrial Services
MBroadening top      10/17/202412/02/2024Retail Store
MGYPipe top      11/18/202411/25/2024Petroleum (Producing)
MKTXDouble Top, Eve and Eve      10/18/202410/30/2024Securities Brokerage
MTRNDouble Top, Adam and Adam      11/25/202412/03/2024Metals and Mining (Div.)
MOSTriple bottom      11/12/202411/26/2024Chemical (Diversified)
MURTriple top      11/12/202411/25/2024Petroleum (Integrated)
NBRPipe top      11/04/202411/11/2024Oilfield Svcs/Equipment
NWLDouble Bottom, Eve and Eve      11/05/202411/18/2024Household Products
OXYHead-and-shoulders top      11/06/202411/22/2024Petroleum (Producing)
OLNDouble Top, Adam and Eve      11/25/202412/02/2024Chemical (Basic)
ONDouble Top, Adam and Adam      11/25/202412/02/2024Semiconductor
OMIDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      11/05/202411/21/2024Medical Supplies
PETSDouble Bottom, Eve and Adam      11/19/202412/02/2024Medical Services
PINCDouble Top, Eve and Adam      11/06/202411/25/2024Healthcare Information
RTXTriangle, descending      11/05/202412/04/2024Aerospace/Defense
RGADouble Top, Eve and Eve      11/15/202411/25/2024Insurance (Life)
SLBDouble Top, Eve and Eve      11/12/202411/25/2024Oilfield Svcs/Equipment
STRDouble Top, Eve and Eve      11/12/202411/21/2024Natural Gas (Diversified)
SOHead-and-shoulders top      09/05/202411/27/2024Electric Utility (East)
SRDXRising wedge      10/25/202412/05/2024Medical Supplies
TDOCDouble Top, Adam and Adam      11/25/202412/02/2024Healthcare Information
TERDouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      11/05/202411/20/2024Semiconductor Cap Equip.
TEVADouble Bottom, Adam and Eve      11/15/202411/29/2024Drug

 

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Thursday 12/5/24. Intraday Market Direction: Nasdaq

The Nasdaq climbed by 1.3% or 254.21 points. Since 02/05/1971 the Nasdaq made 173 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's...
     Average gain was 0.9% on 111 occasions.
     Average loss was -1.3% on 62 occasions.
Expect the Nasdaq to close higher 64.2% of the time.
Weekly, since inception on 6/14/2011:
     The prediction of the Nasdaq closing higher has been right 286/511 or 56.0% of the time.
     The prediction of the Nasdaq closing lower has been right 81/169 or 47.9% of the time.

$ $ $

Picture of the Nasdaq composite on the 5 minute scale.

I show a picture of the Nasdaq composite on the 5-minute scale.

The measure rule for trendlines says that the move down (B) will mirror the move up (A). You can flip that around, and it suggests the rise at A will precede a fall to B. In this case, notice that B is taller than A. The move from C to the trendline better aligns with what we see at B.

The rise at D says something else about the trend. It is gaining momentum. I think that applies to lines drawn using linear regression (a way to draw a line between points so they are all have a minimum distance from the line). I did not use linear regression on this chart. When price rises above the line, momentum is increasing. When it's heading toward the line, momentum is falling.

If we use the measure rule, then look for the index to drop below the line by about 200 points.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 164 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: ABT, ANF, AXDX, ADBE, AES, ATSG, ALRM, AMZN, AMED, AMWD, AMN, APH, AR, AAPL, AMAT, ADM, ATO, BBY, BIO, BKNG, BRKR, CBT, CDNS, CPB, CE, CLS, CX, CF, CI, ED, COTY, CR, CCRN, CCK, BOOM, ECL, ELV, EQT, EG, XOM, FIS, FTNT, GME, GIS, GFS, GL, GOOGL, HL, HSII, HUBG, IBP, INTC, IPI, JBLU, JNJ, KLIC, LZB, LH, LDOS, LLY, LMT, MTSI, MGY, META, MSFT, MYGN, ^IXIC, NOV, NWL, OLN, OMC, PANW, PDCO, PYPL, PETS, PFE, PLXS, PINC, PHM, PSTG, RMBS, RTX, RNG, ROL, ROP, ^GSPC, SLB, SEIC, STR, SMAR, LUV, SPSC, SNPS, TECH, TOL, TDG, RIG, TWLO, UIS, VLO, VMI, MDRX, WEX, WSC, WOLF, WWD, IYK, IYC, FTEC, FDN, QTEC, FXL, FXI, BOTZ, QQQ, IYZ, IGV, IXN, SOXX, EWO, EEM, EWG, EWH, EWI, EZA, EWP, EWD, EWT, TUR, QLD, DBA, PXJ, SSO, ROBO, XLY, XLF, XRT, SPY, XLK, UNG, USO, SMH, MGK, VONG. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

$ $ $

The following table shows where Fibonacci retrace values of the day's high-low range are plus pivot points, calculated on the Nasdaq composite, sorted by value. When several are near each other (small differences), the area might act as support or resistance.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)

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© 2024 ThePatternSite.com    Metric  Value  Diff  Close (within 10% of the high-low range for the day)? 
 Monthly S2  17,779.59    
 Monthly S1  18,757.36  977.76   
 Weekly S2  18,997.65  240.29   
 Monthly Pivot  19,061.71  64.07   
 Weekly Pivot  19,305.94  244.22   
 Weekly S1  19,366.38  60.45   
 Daily S2  19,517.73  151.35   
 Low  19,575.40  57.67   
 Open  19,587.48  12.08   Yes! The Open is close to the Low.
 Weekly R2  19,614.23  26.75   
 Daily S1  19,626.43  12.20   Yes! The Daily S1 is close to the Weekly R2.
 61.8% Down from Intraday High  19,638.95  12.52   Yes! The 61.8% Down from Intraday High is close to the Daily S1.
 50% Down from Intraday High  19,658.58  19.63   
 Weekly R1  19,674.67  16.09   Yes! The Weekly R1 is close to the 50% Down from Intraday High.
 38.2% Down from Intraday High  19,678.21  3.54   Yes! The 38.2% Down from Intraday High is close to the Weekly R1.
 Daily Pivot  19,684.09  5.88   Yes! The Daily Pivot is close to the 38.2% Down from Intraday High.
 Close  19,735.12  51.03   
 High  19,741.76  6.64   Yes! The High is close to the Close.
 Daily R1  19,792.79  51.03   
 Daily R2  19,850.45  57.67   
 Monthly R1  20,039.48  189.02   
 Monthly R2  20,343.83  304.36   

Wednesday 12/4/24. A Look at the Chart Pattern Indicator (CPI)

Picture of the chart pattern indicator

This is a picture of the chart pattern indicator on the daily scale. The indicator is the line chart below a chart of the S&P 500 composite.

The most recent signal is green, which is bullish. There's no change from last week except that the thin blue indicator line has rounded over and is heading lower.

Look at the index. It continues to rise even as the indicator drops. Uh-oh. That's bearish divergence. It suggests, but does not guarantee, that the index will follow the CPI lower.

I recently switched my targets (top of page) from up to down, based on weakness I saw in the price trend. I think it'll be a short retrace before a resumption of the upward move, but today's CPI chart seems to confirm my reasoning of a weakening general market.

$ $ $

Here's a symbol list of 150 chart and candlestick patterns (13 "investment grade" candle patterns) found in today's securities using my version of Patternz: DDD, ABT, AXDX, ACN, ACIW, ATSG, ALB, AR, ADM, ASH, ADP, AVNT, AVA, BBY, BAH, BCO, BG, CE, CNP, CENX, CHD, CI, CL, CR, ^DJU, ^DJT, BOOM, EMN, ELV, EQT, EVH, EZPW, FARO, FMC, FNV, FRD, GME, GIS, HL, HSII, HOLX, HUBG, HURC, IEX, INFN, INTC, IRM, JNJ, K, KELYA, LZB, LXU, MTSI, M, MGY, MAN, MCHX, MTRN, MGEE, MOS, NWL, NEE, NVDA, OLN, OMC, ASGN, OTEX, OUT, OXM, PKE, PAYX, PCG, PPG, PINC, PFG, PHM, PSTG, RTX, RNG, ROL, R, SAND, SAIC, SIGI, SLGN, SKX, SKYW, LUV, SXI, TDOC, TXT, TWLO, UPS, UNH, VLO, VMI, VMC, WU, WLK, WEX, IYM, FXI, ICF, IHF, IYZ, MXI, IXN, IHI, EWO, ECH, EEM, EWH, EIS, EWI, EWJ, EWS, EWY, EWP, EWD, THD, TUR, EWU, IBB, DBA, PJP, XAR, XLK, UNG, USO, VAW. Click this link for details (pattern type, start and end dates).

For a list of small patterns (those a few days wide) click this link.

-- Thomas Bulkowski, author: Invest for Two-Comma Wealth and the novel (fiction), Foresight (#Ad)

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