As of 09/26/2023
  Indus: 33,619 -388.00 -1.1%  
  Trans: 14,819 -282.19 -1.9%  
  Utils: 845 -24.76 -2.8%  
  Nasdaq: 13,064 -207.71 -1.6%  
  S&P 500: 4,274 -63.91 -1.5%  
YTD
 +1.4%  
 +10.7%  
-12.7%  
 +24.8%  
 +11.3%  
  Targets    Overview: 09/15/2023  
  Up arrow34,500 or 33,150 by 10/15/2023
  Up arrow15,900 or 14,800 by 10/01/2023
  Up arrow880 or 800 by 10/15/2023
  Up arrow14,400 or 13,000 by 10/01/2023
  Up arrow4,425 or 4,175 by 10/15/2023
As of 09/26/2023
  Indus: 33,619 -388.00 -1.1%  
  Trans: 14,819 -282.19 -1.9%  
  Utils: 845 -24.76 -2.8%  
  Nasdaq: 13,064 -207.71 -1.6%  
  S&P 500: 4,274 -63.91 -1.5%  
YTD
 +1.4%  
 +10.7%  
-12.7%  
 +24.8%  
 +11.3%  
  Targets    Overview: 09/15/2023  
  Up arrow34,500 or 33,150 by 10/15/2023
  Up arrow15,900 or 14,800 by 10/01/2023
  Up arrow880 or 800 by 10/15/2023
  Up arrow14,400 or 13,000 by 10/01/2023
  Up arrow4,425 or 4,175 by 10/15/2023

Bulkowski's Swing Rule Tutorial

Released 3/19/2020.

Swing Rule: Tutorial

Below is a slider tutorial for the swing rule. Captions appear below the pictures in red for guidance, so be sure to scroll down far enough to read them.

 

1 / 5
chart pattern
I learned about the swing rule from Sam Weinstein's book, "Stan Weinstein's Secrets for Profiting in Bull and Bear Markets." The rule is a way of predicting how far price will rise. For example, the swing down from A (the high is at 9.37) to B (the low is at 6.47) measures 9.37 - 6.47 or 2.90. How far will price rise above the high at A? The next slide provides the answer.
2 / 5
chart pattern
The answer is to add the height of swing AB to A. In this case, that's 2.90 + 9.37 or 12.27, which I show at C. The stock reaches the target about two weeks before COVID-19 virus takes the stock (and markets) down. Does the swing rule work for time? Let's explore that in the next slide.
3 / 5
chart pattern
Here's another swing from A to B. What is the price target? The high at A is 136.03 and the low at B is at 129.17 for a height of 6.86. Add the height (6.86) to the high at A (136.03) to get a target of 142.89. Using calendar dates (not price bars), the difference between A and B is 7 days. How long will it take to reach the target, on average? The next slide shows the answer.
4 / 5
chart pattern
My study of chart patterns shows that price drops about twice as fast as it rises. If the drop from A to B measures 7 days then the rise from B to A should take twice as long, or 14 days. The rise from A to C should take twice as long, or another 14 days for a total of 28 days. In this example, point C is 28 days after A, so it meets the time target exactly. The price target is 142.89, so it falls just short of that by 7 cents. The next slide provides statistics on how often the swing rule works.
5 / 5
chart pattern
The chart shows that the swing rule works about half the time. This article explains the swing rule in more detail.

See Also

 
Top of page
 

 

Support this site! Clicking any of the books (below) takes you to Amazon.com If you buy ANYTHING while there, they pay for the referral.
Legal notice for paid links: "As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases."

My novels:  Remember Me book Bumper's Story book Head's Law book
My stock market books:  Chart Patterns: After the Buy Getting Started in Chart Patterns 2nd edition book Trading Basics book Fundamental Analysis and Position Trading book Swing and Day Trading book Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns 3rd Edition book

Copyright © 2005-2023 by Thomas N. Bulkowski. All rights reserved.
Disclaimer: You alone are responsible for your investment decisions. See Privacy/Disclaimer for more information.
Some pattern names are registered trademarks of their respective owners.
Home Advertise Contact Donate Privacy/Disclaimer