As of 12/08/2023
  Indus: 36,248 +130.49 +0.4%  
  Trans: 15,211 -88.23 -0.6%  
  Utils: 874 -4.30 -0.5%  
  Nasdaq: 14,404 +63.98 +0.4%  
  S&P 500: 4,604 +18.78 +0.4%  
YTD
 +9.4%  
 +13.6%  
-9.7%  
 +37.6%  
 +19.9%  
  Targets    Overview: 11/29/2023  
  Down arrow34,500 or 36,400 by 12/15/2023
  Down arrow14,500 or 15,800 by 12/15/2023
  Up arrow900 or 825 by 12/15/2023
  Down arrow13,700 or 14,450 by 12/15/2023
  Down arrow4,450 or 4,650 by 12/15/2023
As of 12/08/2023
  Indus: 36,248 +130.49 +0.4%  
  Trans: 15,211 -88.23 -0.6%  
  Utils: 874 -4.30 -0.5%  
  Nasdaq: 14,404 +63.98 +0.4%  
  S&P 500: 4,604 +18.78 +0.4%  
YTD
 +9.4%  
 +13.6%  
-9.7%  
 +37.6%  
 +19.9%  
  Targets    Overview: 11/29/2023  
  Down arrow34,500 or 36,400 by 12/15/2023
  Down arrow14,500 or 15,800 by 12/15/2023
  Up arrow900 or 825 by 12/15/2023
  Down arrow13,700 or 14,450 by 12/15/2023
  Down arrow4,450 or 4,650 by 12/15/2023

Bulkowski's Event Pattern Failure Rank

This is an alphabetical listing of event patterns that shows the performance rank of each event pattern by its failure rate. Ties are allowed. A rank of 1 means the event pattern has the smallest failure rate. N/A in the list below means the event pattern uses a different method to gauge performance than the other event patterns (usually the measure from the breakout to the swing high or swing low, not to the highest high or lowest low before a trend change). Thus, a performance comparison would be unfair and meaningless. For more information see the book Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns, Second Edition.

-- Thomas Bulkowski

Bull Market Event Patterns

Event PatternBreakeven Failure
Rate Rank
Dead-Cat BounceN/A
Dead-Cat Bounce, InvertedN/A
Flag, Earnings, up breakout1
Same Store Sales, Bad, down breakout1
Stock Downgrade, down breakout1
Earnings Surprise, Bad, down breakout2
Stock Upgrade, up breakout2
Same Store Sales, Good, up breakout3
Stock Upgrade, down breakout3
FDA Drug Approvals, down breakout4
Stock Downgrade, up breakout4
Earnings Surprise, Good, up breakout5
FDA Drug Approvals, up breakout6

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See Also

 

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My novels:  Remember Me book Bumper's Story book Head's Law book
My stock market books:  Chart Patterns: After the Buy Getting Started in Chart Patterns 2nd edition book Trading Basics book Fundamental Analysis and Position Trading book Swing and Day Trading book Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns 3rd Edition book

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