As of 09/17/2024
Indus: 41,606 -15.90 0.0%
Trans: 16,014 +171.47 +1.1%
Utils: 1,059 -1.68 -0.2%
Nasdaq: 17,628 +35.93 +0.2%
S&P 500: 5,635 +1.49 +0.0%
|
YTD
+10.4%
+0.7%
+20.1%
+17.4%
+18.1%
|
42,000 or 40,100 by 10/01/2024
16,200 or 15,300 by 10/01/2024
1,100 or 1,000 by 10/01/2024
18,400 or 16,650 by 10/01/2024
5,750 or 5,400 by 10/01/2024
|
As of 09/17/2024
Indus: 41,606 -15.90 0.0%
Trans: 16,014 +171.47 +1.1%
Utils: 1,059 -1.68 -0.2%
Nasdaq: 17,628 +35.93 +0.2%
S&P 500: 5,635 +1.49 +0.0%
|
YTD
+10.4%
+0.7%
+20.1%
+17.4%
+18.1%
| |
42,000 or 40,100 by 10/01/2024
16,200 or 15,300 by 10/01/2024
1,100 or 1,000 by 10/01/2024
18,400 or 16,650 by 10/01/2024
5,750 or 5,400 by 10/01/2024
| ||
Island bottom and top statistics updated on 8/26/2020.
For more information on this pattern, read Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns Second Edition, pictured on the right, pages 464 to 479. That chapter gives a complete review of the chart pattern, including tour, identification guidelines, focus on failures, performance statistics, trading tactics, and sample trade. Below is just a sliver of the information contained in the book.
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Island Reversal Chart Pattern
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The above picture shows an island top reversal. The horizontal arrows point to gaps that align at the same price.
The above numbers are based on 2,000+ perfect trades. See the glossary for definitions.
Characteristic | Discussion |
Price trend | Tops have price trending upward to the island; bottoms have price trending downward. |
Shape | Gaps separate a price island from the mainland. |
Gaps | Two gaps must share some or all of the same price. |
Volume | High on the day price makes the second gap. |
Duration | The island can be one day to several months long. |
Trading Tactic | Explanation | The Measure Rule
|
Measure rule | Compute the height from the highest peak (A in the Measure Rule figure to the right) to the lowest valley in the island (B) and then multiply it by the above 'percentage meeting price target.' Add the result to the price of the highest peak (A, upward breakouts) or subtract it from the lowest valley (B, downward breakouts). The result is the target price, C, shown only for downward breakouts. | |
Height | Tall islands perform better than short ones. | |
Throwbacks and pullbacks | pullbacks hurt post breakout performance. Since throwbacks and pullbacks happen so frequently, you can wait for them to complete before taking a position. |
The figure shows an example of an island bottom reversal chart pattern. Price enters the island at A by gapping lower and another gap sharing the same price appears at B. The two gaps mark the island bottom boundaries.
You can see why islands do not work well. This one shows price moving up at B and then reversing, throwing back to the breakout price and continuing lower, ending well below the bottom of the island.
-- Thomas Bulkowski
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