As of 04/19/2024
  Indus: 37,986 +211.02 +0.6%  
  Trans: 15,084 +136.79 +0.9%  
  Utils: 876 +15.31 +1.8%  
  Nasdaq: 15,282 -319.49 -2.0%  
  S&P 500: 4,967 -43.89 -0.9%  
YTD
 +0.8%  
-5.1%  
-0.7%  
 +1.8%  
 +4.1%  
  Targets    Overview: 04/12/2024  
  Up arrow39,800 or 37,150 by 05/01/2024
  Up arrow16,200 or 15,000 by 05/01/2024
  Up arrow885 or 850 by 05/01/2024
  Up arrow16,700 or 15,800 by 05/01/2024
  Up arrow5,250 or 5,025 by 05/01/2024
As of 04/19/2024
  Indus: 37,986 +211.02 +0.6%  
  Trans: 15,084 +136.79 +0.9%  
  Utils: 876 +15.31 +1.8%  
  Nasdaq: 15,282 -319.49 -2.0%  
  S&P 500: 4,967 -43.89 -0.9%  
YTD
 +0.8%  
-5.1%  
-0.7%  
 +1.8%  
 +4.1%  
  Targets    Overview: 04/12/2024  
  Up arrow39,800 or 37,150 by 05/01/2024
  Up arrow16,200 or 15,000 by 05/01/2024
  Up arrow885 or 850 by 05/01/2024
  Up arrow16,700 or 15,800 by 05/01/2024
  Up arrow5,250 or 5,025 by 05/01/2024

Bulkowski's Teradyne Trade

Teradyne Trade: Entry

Picture of the Teradyne on the weekly scale.

I show a picture of Teradyne (TER) on the weekly scale. It's a trade for which I was recently stopped out.

I first began having an interest in buying Teradyne in mid April 2009 after price retraced 38% from the move up from the March low. That would have put me into the stock at 4.55. However, I delayed entry for about two weeks. By then the stock had reached 5.94, the price at which it filled.

As an explanation about the buy, I wrote in my notebook, "Big W, Eve & Eve double bottom. S&P rates this a buy, but with a high risk assessment. Sees a 56% decline in revs in 2009, but a 41% increase in 2010. Ford says sell. This is not a value play."

The bear market had just ended, so buying anything was a high risk proposition (meaning no one really knew if the bear was dead). I saw upside potential of 9 to 12 or even 13.

By the end of June, the rating agencies hardened their stance. I wrote, "6/26/09 S&P strong buy. Says that the worst is behind the company in terms of sales. Has no long term debt. Expects sales to improve in 2nd half. Ford says strong sell!"

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Teradyne Trade: Sale

My notes say that I placed a sell order on April 27, 2010, if the stock closed below 9.93. However, before price dropped that far, I wrote this:

"7/5/10 I placed a limit order to sell at 10.43, GTC. This would match the 38% retrace and is just below a prior gap.
7/8/10 Changed limit order to stop at 9.78
7/12/10 Stop raised to 10.05 a few pennies below today's low.
7/13/10 Intel has had the best quarter in a decade, so this will probably do well. I'm canceling the stop.
9/25/10 When the stock peaked in April, insiders dumped the stock. That would be a good sell level going forward.
1/6/11 This looks like it's going to drop back to 13 then 12 then 11.
2/16/11 I placed a stop below the minor low, at 17.55."

On the chart, the dashed lines are overhead resistance areas. The thicker one at the top is my optimum target. Since price had closed above that area, I was happy to take profits if I got stopped out.

The stock hit my stop on February 23 on market weakness. I made 194% on the trade or almost a triple.

-- Thomas Bulkowski

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