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Support this site! Clicking the links (below) takes you to Amazon.com. If you buy ANYTHING, they pay for the referral. My books...

Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns 2nd Edition book.
Chart Patterns: After the Buy
Getting Started in Chart Patterns, Second Edition book.
Trading Basics: Evolution of a Trader book.
Fundamental Analysis and Position Trading: Evolution of a Trader book.
Swing and Day Trading: Evolution of a Trader book.
Visual Guide to Chart Patterns book.
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Picture of the head's law.
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Bulkowski's Stocks That Double

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As of 11/11/2019
  Indus: 27,691 +10.25 +0.0%  
  Trans: 11,030 -37.61 -0.3%  
  Utils: 830 -5.55 -0.7%  
  Nasdaq: 8,464 -11.03 -0.1%  
  S&P 500: 3,087 -6.07 -0.2%  
YTD
 +18.7%  
 +20.3%  
 +16.4%  
 +27.6%  
 +23.1%  
  Targets    Overview: 10/31/2019  
  Up arrow27,750 or 26,900 by 11/15/2019
  Up arrow11,300 or 10,100 by 11/15/2019
  Up arrow870 or 800 by 12/01/2019
  Up arrow8,500 or 8,000 by 11/15/2019
  Up arrow3,150 or 2,950 by 11/15/2019
As of 11/11/2019
  Indus: 27,691 +10.25 +0.0%  
  Trans: 11,030 -37.61 -0.3%  
  Utils: 830 -5.55 -0.7%  
  Nasdaq: 8,464 -11.03 -0.1%  
  S&P 500: 3,087 -6.07 -0.2%  
YTD
 +18.7%  
 +20.3%  
 +16.4%  
 +27.6%  
 +23.1%  
  Targets    Overview: 10/31/2019  
  Up arrow27,750 or 26,900 by 11/15/2019
  Up arrow11,300 or 10,100 by 11/15/2019
  Up arrow870 or 800 by 12/01/2019
  Up arrow8,500 or 8,000 by 11/15/2019
  Up arrow3,150 or 2,950 by 11/15/2019

Written by and copyright © 2005-2019 by Thomas N. Bulkowski. All rights reserved. Disclaimer: You alone are responsible for your investment decisions. See Privacy/Disclaimer for more information. Some pattern names are the registered trademarks of their respective owners.

My book, Fundamental Analysis and Position TradingFundamental Analysis and Position Trading: Evolution of a Trader book. pictured on the left, has an entire chapter dedicated to how to double your money. Plus it has two chapters on 10-baggers, stocks that rise by ten times their initial value.

If you click on this link and then buy the book (or anything) at Amazon.com, the referral will help support this site. Thanks. -- Tom Bulkowski

$ $ $

This article discusses fundamental criteria shared by stocks that double.

 

For the last year, I have been working on my fifth book (pictured above). Part of it covers fundamental analysis, or picking stocks based on value. I just finished a chapter on stocks that double in price within five years and I thought I'd share the results with you. I used data from 1992 to 2007 on almost 1,000 stocks, but not all stocks covered the entire span. Fundamentals were provided by Value Line.

Here is the list of common elements.

  • Start with small cap stocks, those with market caps (shares outstanding times stock price) less than $1 billion.
  • Stocks priced between $5 and $20 have the highest frequency of doubling.
  • Look for low price to book ratio, below 2.5.
  • Find stocks that are reducing capital spending (cap ex).
  • Price to cash flow below 8 is good, below 2 is better.
  • Focus on stocks that do not pay dividends, but this is a 60/40 thing.
  • Look for companies cutting their long term debt.
  • Increasing net profit helps but it's not that important.
  • A price to earnings ratio below 25 is good, below 20 is better.
  • Keep the price to sales ratio below 1.0.
  • Look for return on equity between 8% and 14% but be flexible.

I picked the items I liked and did a scan for those fundamentals and found 31 stocks. Here's what I looked for:

  • Small caps,
  • Stocks priced from $1 to 20,
  • Price to book value less than 2.5,
  • Price to cash flow less than 2.0,
  • PE ratio less than 25 and
  • PSR less than 1.0.

Preliminary testing showed the criteria performed well. I would add a test for reduced capital spending since that helped boost performance.

After looking at the stocks that this criteria found, I can see why they are priced so cheaply. Most of them are trash, but you can do your own scans and see what you can find.

-- Thomas Bulkowski

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Written by and copyright © 2005-2019 by Thomas N. Bulkowski. All rights reserved. Disclaimer: You alone are responsible for your investment decisions. See Privacy/Disclaimer for more information. Some pattern names are the registered trademarks of their respective owners. I'd love to go out with you, but I never go out on days that end in 'Y.'